Description

This analysis provides a forecast of JASMY prices using a Seasonal ARIMA model with Box-Cox transformation. The forecast includes different scenarios:

The confidence levels used are 68%, 95%, and 99.7%, which means there is a corresponding probability that the actual price will fall within the Bear and Bull case range for each confidence level.

The purpose of this model is to help investors understand potential future price movements and make informed decisions based on different market scenarios.

Bear_0.997 Bear_0.95 Bear_0.68 Base Bull_0.68 Bull_0.95 Bull_0.997
2024-12-08 00:00:00+00:00 0.015733 0.019626 0.024733 0.032144 0.043037 0.059206 0.086687
2024-12-15 00:00:00+00:00 0.011138 0.015231 0.021405 0.032089 0.051892 0.091950 0.199410
2024-12-22 00:00:00+00:00 0.009075 0.013158 0.019914 0.033181 0.062761 0.142457 0.511223
2024-12-29 00:00:00+00:00 0.007665 0.011573 0.018482 0.033404 0.072125 0.208800 1.485821
2025-01-05 00:00:00+00:00 0.006470 0.010026 0.016588 0.031707 0.075499 0.268349 4.451870
2025-01-12 00:00:00+00:00 0.005675 0.008998 0.015376 0.030979 0.081336 0.364444 32.264243
2025-01-19 00:00:00+00:00 0.005280 0.008610 0.015315 0.033034 0.099310 0.649323 NaN
2025-01-26 00:00:00+00:00 0.005044 0.008470 0.015725 0.036608 0.129815 1.528977 NaN
2025-02-02 00:00:00+00:00 0.004828 0.008324 0.016082 0.040310 0.170454 4.892673 NaN
2025-02-09 00:00:00+00:00 0.004469 0.007824 0.015477 0.040597 0.193021 13.446771 NaN
2025-02-16 00:00:00+00:00 0.004166 0.007397 0.014958 0.040978 0.219547 67.578309 NaN
2025-02-23 00:00:00+00:00 0.003806 0.006801 0.013893 0.038845 0.220697 249.832971 NaN
2025-03-02 00:00:00+00:00 0.003445 0.006203 0.012826 0.036769 0.225063 38298.821508 NaN
2025-03-09 00:00:00+00:00 0.003190 0.005815 0.012261 0.036605 0.254522 NaN NaN
2025-03-16 00:00:00+00:00 0.003015 0.005578 0.012053 0.037912 0.314685 NaN NaN
2025-03-23 00:00:00+00:00 0.002831 0.005297 0.011658 0.038181 0.367681 NaN NaN
2025-03-30 00:00:00+00:00 0.002610 0.004904 0.010868 0.036142 0.369285 NaN NaN
2025-04-06 00:00:00+00:00 0.002443 0.004620 0.010350 0.035270 0.397519 NaN NaN
2025-04-13 00:00:00+00:00 0.002369 0.004547 0.010447 0.037736 0.548917 NaN NaN
2025-04-20 00:00:00+00:00 0.002331 0.004556 0.010802 0.042052 0.895084 NaN NaN
2025-04-27 00:00:00+00:00 0.002289 0.004551 0.011112 0.046556 1.556398 NaN NaN
2025-05-04 00:00:00+00:00 0.002186 0.004377 0.010828 0.046907 1.991779 NaN NaN
2025-05-11 00:00:00+00:00 0.002093 0.004222 0.010577 0.047372 2.628267 NaN NaN